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SP likely to form next govt in UP, may not need Cong support
The Samajwadi Party is inching towards simple majority in Uttar Pradesh and is likely to form the next government in the state.
According to the leads from all the 403 seats, Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party is leading in close to 200 seats.
Counting is underway in all the 403 seats and all results are expected by evening.
If the leads convert into results, the SP will be in a position to form the government even without the support of the Congress. Smaller parties and independent candidates may play a crucial role in case of a hung assembly.
The BSP is expected to remain second despite a loss of over 100 seats in comparison to the 206 it got in 2007.
Congress and BJP are likely to improve but are fighting for third and fourth place.
Congress’s ally RLD is also expected to increase its number.
While SP seems to be getting support across the state and all castes and communities, BSP has suffered losses everywhere but seems to have retained its Dalit base. However, Mayawati’s social engineering failed as Brahmins and Muslims do not seem to have vote for BSP in large number as they did in 2007. Congress and BJP seem to have has excelled in some pockets of UP.
While celebrations have begun in SP head quarters in Lucknow, an eerie silence prevailed in BSP head office and gates were closed for visitors. Disappointment was palpable in Congress office, whereas BJP camp was hopeful of getting more than 100 seats, double of what it got in 2007.
Reacting to result trends, SP general secretary Ram Gopal Yadav said that people have voted against five years of misrule in UP. He said that SP is gaining because it took up public cause for five years while sitting in opposition. He said that people also compared SP’s previous rule with the present incumbent and found former better.
UP Congress president Rita Bahugana Joshi said that though her party does not seems to be doing well, it would improve its tally. She said there is a strong anti-incumbency wave against Mayawati regime.
Congress leader Rajiv Shukla said that Rahul Gandhi created a favourable atmosphere for the party through his work and campaign in UP. But, he said, party could not convert it into seats because of absence of party cadre at the ground level. He claimed that in any case Congress would emerge as key player in UP.
BJP national vice president and candidate from Lucknow East Kalraj Mishra said that party would do better than 2007. He admitted that induction of sacked BSP minister Babu Singh Kushwaha, who is prime accused in NRHM scam and has been arrested by CBI, damaged BJP’s prospect upto some extent in UP. Mishra said that though Kushwaha’s membership was suspended after stiff opposition of his induction within the party, it dented BJP’s attack on Mayawati on the issue of corruption.
What seems to have gone in favour of SP is its image makeover by star campaigner party supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav’s son Akhilesh. Previous SP rule in 2003-07 was known for poor law and order but Akhilesh promised to change the order this time. While Mulayam worked to get back muslims who were angry after he shook hands with Kalyan Singh in 2009, Akhilesh worked to woo different castes and communities. He was also able to attract youth.
Congress campaign in UP had created hope of party’s revival in the state. The 4.5% quota for minorities helped party to make inroads in Muslim community which can tilt balance iin 140 seats in the state. However, during elections, contradictory statements of Congress leaders on Batla house encounter and infighting damaged party’s prospects.
BJP was in a miserable state at the start of election but entry of fire brand Hindutava leader Uma Bharti galvanized cadre and brought party back in contest. BJP was also able to polarize votes on communal lines at few places on the issue of Muslim quota.
Uma Bharti, who was brought from Madhya Pradesh to campaign in UP, was fielded by BJP from Charkhari seat in Bundelkhand. Uma factor seems to have worked as BJP is leading in half of total 19 seats in Bundelkhand. Congress also doing well in Bundelkhand. Congress general secretary Rahul Gandhi had started his mission UP from Bundelkhand in 2007. He was instrumental in getting over Rs 3000 crore development package for drought prone region.
According to the leads from all the 403 seats, Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party is leading in close to 200 seats.
Counting is underway in all the 403 seats and all results are expected by evening.
If the leads convert into results, the SP will be in a position to form the government even without the support of the Congress. Smaller parties and independent candidates may play a crucial role in case of a hung assembly.
The BSP is expected to remain second despite a loss of over 100 seats in comparison to the 206 it got in 2007.
Congress’s ally RLD is also expected to increase its number.
While SP seems to be getting support across the state and all castes and communities, BSP has suffered losses everywhere but seems to have retained its Dalit base. However, Mayawati’s social engineering failed as Brahmins and Muslims do not seem to have vote for BSP in large number as they did in 2007. Congress and BJP seem to have has excelled in some pockets of UP.
While celebrations have begun in SP head quarters in Lucknow, an eerie silence prevailed in BSP head office and gates were closed for visitors. Disappointment was palpable in Congress office, whereas BJP camp was hopeful of getting more than 100 seats, double of what it got in 2007.
Reacting to result trends, SP general secretary Ram Gopal Yadav said that people have voted against five years of misrule in UP. He said that SP is gaining because it took up public cause for five years while sitting in opposition. He said that people also compared SP’s previous rule with the present incumbent and found former better.
UP Congress president Rita Bahugana Joshi said that though her party does not seems to be doing well, it would improve its tally. She said there is a strong anti-incumbency wave against Mayawati regime.
Congress leader Rajiv Shukla said that Rahul Gandhi created a favourable atmosphere for the party through his work and campaign in UP. But, he said, party could not convert it into seats because of absence of party cadre at the ground level. He claimed that in any case Congress would emerge as key player in UP.
BJP national vice president and candidate from Lucknow East Kalraj Mishra said that party would do better than 2007. He admitted that induction of sacked BSP minister Babu Singh Kushwaha, who is prime accused in NRHM scam and has been arrested by CBI, damaged BJP’s prospect upto some extent in UP. Mishra said that though Kushwaha’s membership was suspended after stiff opposition of his induction within the party, it dented BJP’s attack on Mayawati on the issue of corruption.
What seems to have gone in favour of SP is its image makeover by star campaigner party supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav’s son Akhilesh. Previous SP rule in 2003-07 was known for poor law and order but Akhilesh promised to change the order this time. While Mulayam worked to get back muslims who were angry after he shook hands with Kalyan Singh in 2009, Akhilesh worked to woo different castes and communities. He was also able to attract youth.
Congress campaign in UP had created hope of party’s revival in the state. The 4.5% quota for minorities helped party to make inroads in Muslim community which can tilt balance iin 140 seats in the state. However, during elections, contradictory statements of Congress leaders on Batla house encounter and infighting damaged party’s prospects.
BJP was in a miserable state at the start of election but entry of fire brand Hindutava leader Uma Bharti galvanized cadre and brought party back in contest. BJP was also able to polarize votes on communal lines at few places on the issue of Muslim quota.
Uma Bharti, who was brought from Madhya Pradesh to campaign in UP, was fielded by BJP from Charkhari seat in Bundelkhand. Uma factor seems to have worked as BJP is leading in half of total 19 seats in Bundelkhand. Congress also doing well in Bundelkhand. Congress general secretary Rahul Gandhi had started his mission UP from Bundelkhand in 2007. He was instrumental in getting over Rs 3000 crore development package for drought prone region.
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